Sunday, June 15, 2014

'22 Jump Street' tops 'How to Train Your Dragon 2' with impressive $60 million at the weekend box office

One of the biggest box office weekends of the year so far occurred over the last few days, with Sony's R-rated comedy 22 Jump Street and Fox's animated film How to Train Your Dragon 2 going head to head. In the end, R-rated raunchiness prevailed. Sony's 22 Jump Street topped the box office with $60 million, the fifth highest opening for an R-rated film and the second highest opening for an R-rated comedy in history. None of this is really all that surprising since the first film in the franchise is incredibly beloved by audiences and the sequel received strong critical remarks. The "A-" Cinemascore should help word of mouth in the future as well. After the disappointing performance of The Amazing Spider-Man 2, Sony has to be happy with this result. 22 Jump Street will likely end up with about $155 million.

Fox's How to Train Your Dragon 2 had a somewhat low opening this weekend, finishing in second place with $50 million. That opening is only $7 million higher than the opening of 2010's How to Train Your Dragon, which has to be a bit of a letdown for Dreamworks. The film did receive an "A" Cinemascore from audiences and will likely hang around for quite a while thanks to the lack of family fare until Disney's Planes: Fire and Rescue hits theaters in mid-July. I'm still very shocked by this opening. Even though the film isn't good, I still thought that the lack of family fare would push Dragon to at least $70 million.

Disney's Maleficent fell one spot to third place this weekend and took in another $19 million. The epic fantasy flick has held extraordinarily well and has taken in $163.5 million so far. Look for Maleficent to surely cross $200 million in the near future. It looks like this one will be quite profitable after all. In fourth place was Warner Bros.' Edge of Tomorrow, which fell only 44% to $16.1 million. That's a fantastic hold for the action flick, which has now taken in $56.6 million. If Edge can hold on a little bit longer, a finish around $90 million is not out of reach. Please check Edge of Tomorrow out if you haven't already. It's one of the year's best.

The Fault In Our Stars ended up in fifth place this weekend, plummeting nearly 67%. The film added another $15.7 million to its now $81.7 million total. The YA adaptation has been well received, but was also incredibly front-loaded. It will surely finish above $100 million, but will probably end up with only a 2x multiplier. It's a pretty good movie, so I would encourage you to check it out if you're hesitant.

In sixth place was X-Men: Days of Future Past, which took in another $9.5 million this weekend. The superhero hit has now grossed $205.9 million, which is somewhat disappointing given its strong opening. However, the film is doing gangbusters overseas and will likely end up being the highest grossing superhero movie of the year. And deservedly so (although The Winter Soldier is brilliant as well).

Godzilla finished in seventh place with $3.1 million. The monster flick has now grossed $191.3 million and will almost surely finish below $200 million, becoming the first film to do that with an opening weekend above $90 million. Pretty disappointing for Godzilla. If it was a better movie, it might have made more money. A Million Ways to Die in the West finished in eighth place with $3 million, which was enough to raise the film's total to $38.9 million. A final total around $45 million seems probable.

Universal's Neighbors ended up in ninth place with $2.4 million, which raises the film's total to $143.1 million. A final total close to $150 million is probable. And finally, Jon Favreau's Chef rounded out the top ten with $2.2 million. The low-budget hit has now grossed $14 million.

Next weekend sees the release of Think Like A Man Too, Jersey Boys and The Rover. Here are my predictions:

1. Think Like A Man Too- $35.6 million
2. 22 Jump Street- $29.5 million
3. How To Train Your Dragon 2- $28.7 million
4. Jersey Boys- $22 million
5. Maleficent- $12.5 million
6. Edge of Tomorrow- $10.5 million
7. The Fault In Our Stars- $6.9 million
8. X-Men: Days of Future Past- $5.6 million
9. Chef- $2.1 million
10. The Rover- $1.9 million

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