On the Star Wars front, it's assured to get a few nominations- Best Original Score, Best Sound Mixing and Editing and Best Visual Effects. Everything beyond that boils down to how much the Academy likes this film. There's a chance that Harrison Ford gets a nomination for Supporting Actor and a slim possibility that J.J. Abrams ends up with a Best Director nod, but there needs to be a lot of support for that. In the Best Picture race, I think it's a likelihood that Star Wars gets in. Avatar and Titanic were both populist picks that made a lot of money and got the Best Picture nomination, so why not Star Wars too? There's a lot of nostalgia in the Academy for the film series and with how strongly The Force Awakens has gripped the world over the last month, it might just slip in simply because the voters remember it.
Not to mention the fact that the film has already rounded up some awards. It was one of the American Film Institute's Top Ten films of the year and in addition to that, the Critics Choice awards added it to the Best Picture race as an eleventh nominee. The love for this film is there in Hollywood. And with how massive the film is at the box office (believe it or not, but there's a very good chance that this one ends up with $1 billion in the US alone), it may be too much of a phenomenon for the Academy to ignore. So if you ask me now, yes, I do believe that The Force Awakens will get a Best Picture nominee. Here are my current Best Picture charts.
2. The Big Short
3. The Revenant
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
6. The Martian
8. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
10. Inside Out
11. Bridge of Spies
12. Straight Outta Compton
15. Steve Jobs
I'll be back with more Oscar talk in a little bit once we get closer to January 14, the day that the Oscar nominations are revealed in Hollywood.