Saturday, September 29, 2012

Early Oscar Preditions in major categories

The Toronto Film Festival is over, the New York Film Festival has just started and Oscar season has begun! The front-runners for this year have already been established but the race still rages on in most of the major categories. This page will be updated every week with updated rankings for the categories. Here are the first Oscar Predictions for 2013.


As of now, there are a lot of films fighting in the mix for best picture. The two front runners are Silver Linings Playbook and Argo but it's pretty close with a few other films. Right now, Les Miserables is a film that everyone seems excited for and thinks will win, Lincoln is being looked at with optimism (I guess) and The Master and Life of Pi are in the mix as well. Here are my top ten as of today.

1. Argo
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Les Miserables
4. Lincoln
5. The Master
6. Beasts of the Southern Wild
7. Moonrise Kingdom
8. Life of Pi
9. Zero Dark Thirty
10. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey


Another category that has a lot of contenders. Joaquin Phoenix is the current front-runner but Anthony Hopkins for Hitchcock and Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln are two strong contenders. Bradley Cooper and John Hawkes are in the mix, as well as Denzel Washington and Hugh Jackman. A lot of potential contenders in this category.

1. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
3. Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
4. Denzel Washington, Flight
5. Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook


One of the few categories that has basically been won: Jennifer Lawrence is pretty much a lock for a win. There are a few other contenders. Keira Knightley for Anna Karenina, Quvenshane Willis for Beast of the Southern Wild along with Helen Mirren for Hitchcock and Marion Cotillard for Rust and Bone. But trust me, Lawrence is going to win.

1. Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
2. Quvenshane Willis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
3. Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
4. Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
5. Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone


A category that is always narrow is wide open. Amy Adams, Anne Hathaway and Helen Hunt are the front runners but Sally Field and Jessica Chastain have joined the mix. I would say that Hathaway is the front runner but Hunt and Adams are not far behind.

1. Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
2. Helen Hunt, The Sessions
3. Amy Adams, The Master
4. Sally Field, Lincoln
5. Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty


Four strong contenders headline the best supporting actor field. The academy loves Leonardo DiCaprio but Robert De Niro and Phillip Seymour Hoffman are extremely strong contenders along with Alan Arkin, Russell Crowe, Hal Holbrook and more. There is no clear front runner right now but we'll see it get clearer in the next few weeks.

1. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
2. Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
3. Alan Arkin, Argo
4. Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
5. Russell Crowe, Les Miserables


This category hasn't really broken open yet because nobody has seen a lot of the movies that could be contenders. Frankenweenie and ParaNorman are the two strongest contenders yet but Brave, Rise of the Guardians and Wreck-It Ralph are in the mix as well. Frankenweenie is getting good reviews so I'll put my money on that.

1. Frankenweenie
2. ParaNorman
3. Wreck-It Ralph
4. Rise of the Guardians
5. Brave


Lots of contenders, lots of great effects but no clear cut winner yet. Life of Pi and The Hobbit look like the two strongest contenders along with Skyfall, The Dark Knight Rises and The Avengers are the other strong contenders. Prometheus is in the mix as well. Most cinemaniacs are obsessed with Life of Pi so I think that will pull a Hugo and win over the more commercial contenders.

1. Life of Pi
2. The Avengers
3. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
4. The Dark Knight Rises
5. Prometheus

I'll add more categories as the race expands and I start seeing some of the films that will get nominations (I should be seeing Frankenweenie next week and Argo the following week). But for now, this is how the race should turn out.

Sunday, September 16, 2012

The Winners of the Toronto Film Festival

The Toronto film festival is usually the starting point of the Oscar season. Venice and Telluride come before but neither are as big as Toronto. This year had the premiere of several films that were thought to be Oscar contenders. Now, some are in better shape than others. Here are the Winners of Toronto and what they might get at the Oscars.



The winner of best movie by the crowd was Silver Linings Playbook, a film that has already been penciled in as an Oscar contender (and maybe winner) in February. The film was praised almost unanimously. Brad Brevet from Rope of Silicon gave the film an A+ saying that it is "Destined to be one of the best films of 2012". Kevin Jagernauth from The Playlist gave the film an A saying that
"The film is worth every satysfying minute you spend with it". Laremy Legel at also gave the film an A calling it a film with "Exceptional performances and direction by David O. Russell". Edward Douglas at gave the film an 8.5/10 saying that it "Pulls you in with its immediacy. Richard Corliss at Time and David Rooney at The Hollywood Reporter also gave the film rave reviews. So the comedy about love and mental illness between Pat Solitano (Bradley Cooper) and Tiffany (Jennifer Lawrence) looks to be a smash hit. The film is obviously a contender and here's what I think it will win for in February

Lock for Win

Jennifer Lawrence- Best Actress

Lock For Nomination

Best Picture
Bradley Cooper- Best Actor
Robert De Niro- Best Supporting Actor
David O. Russell- Best Director
Best Adapted Screenplay

Possible Nomination

Jackie Weaver- Best Supporting Actress


Ben Affleck's Argo was one of the biggest hits of the festival. The film already had buzz coming out of Telluride but Toronto solidified it as a definite Oscar favorite. Roger Ebert flat out called it "The Best Picture winner" and listed several reasons why. Brad Brevet from Rope of Silicon gave the film a B+ while Laremy Legel from gave the film an A saying that actor/director Ben Affleck delivered a "A vital and thrilling political actioner". Pete Hammond from Box office Magazine gave the film a 5/5 calling it "The real deal". The only negative review came from Richard Corliss who called the film "So-so". The film is the best picture front-runner along with Silver Linings Playbook so what else will it win.

Lock for Nomination

Best Picture
Ben Affleck- Best Director
Alan Arkin- Best Supporting Actor
Best Adapted Screenplay


Ben Affleck- Best Actor


Rian Johnson's Looper is not necessarily an Oscar contender. Unlike Silver Linings Playbook and Argo, there's nothing that screams out "OSCAR BAIT!!!". But still the people that saw Looper loved it. Brad Brevet from Rope of Silicon gave the film a B+ and said that Rian Johnson "Established himself as a director that we will be talking about a lot in the future." Amy Nicholson from Box office magazine gave the film 5/5 and said that it's the "Coolest, most confident sci-fi flick since 2006's Children of Men". The film recieved an A from Drew McWeeny at HitFix and an A- from Jordan Hoffman at The film has an 100% on Rotten Tomatoes so it may emerge as an Oscar contender in the near future.


Emily Blunt- Best Supporting Actress
Rian Johnson- Best Director
Best Picutre
Best Original Screenplay


John Hawkes and Helen Hunt star in the sex comedy that recieved buzz at Sundance but is getting more attention now that ever thanks to its Toronto premiere. The film recieved a 9/10 from Jordan Hoffman who called the film "Endlessly Fascinating". Todd McCarthy and Peter DeBruge gave the film positive reviews while Raymond Greene at Boxoffice magazine gave the film a 4/5. Brad Brevet at Rope of Silicon gave the film an A and said that it contained "Two of the Best Performances of the year". The film is a definite contender in the race and came out as a major winner from Toronto

Lock for Nomination

John Hawkes- Best Actor
Helen Hunt- Best Supporting Actress
William H. Macy- Best Supporting Actor
Best Original Screenplay
Best Picture
Best Director


A lot of people had already seen Paul Thomas Anderson's The Master in Venice but Toronto was the premiere for a lot of people. The reaction was strong, though not as strong as some other films at the festival. I'm not going to go into much detail in the reviews since a lot of people have seen it already. Brad Brevet gave it an A- while Laremy Legel gave it a B-. Lisa Schwarzbaum from EW gave the film an A while Leonard Maltin gave the film a good review as well. Here's what The Master might win come Oscar time.

Lock for Nomination

Best Picture
Joaquin Phoenix- Best Actor
Phillip Seymour Hoffman- Best Actor
Amy Adams- Best Supporting Actress
Best Director
Best Cinematograpy
Best Editing
Best Original Screenplay